Pascals mugger
WebIn philosophy, Pascal's mugging is a thought-experiment demonstrating a problem in expected utility maximization. A rational agent should choose actions whose outcomes, when weighed by their probability, have higher utility.But some very unlikely outcomes may have very great utilities, and these utilities can grow faster than the probability diminishes. WebPascal's mugging is a thought experiment intended to raise a problem for expected value theory. Unlike Pascal's wager, Pascal's mugging does not involve infinite utilities or …
Pascals mugger
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WebThe mugger persuades Pascal to hand over his wallet by exploiting Pascal's commitment to expected utility maximisation. He does so by offering Pascal an astronomically high reward such that, despite Pascal's low credence in the mugger's truthfulness, the expected utility of accepting the mugging is higher than rejecting it. WebIn a well-known paper, Nick Bostrom presents a confrontation between a fictionalised Blaise Pascal and a mysterious mugger. The mugger persuades Pascal to hand over his wallet by exploiting Pascal's commitment to expected utility maximisation.
WebMay 21st, 2015 - Usually I picture Pascal?s Mugger as something that compels a positive action For example if someone says?we should build a general AI before our enemies otherwise some other AI might kill us all? ICID Past Office Bearers Presidents April 28th, 2024 - The Office Bearers of ICID shall be one President nine VicePresidents and one ... WebThe Pascal’s mugging argument can be formalized as follows: (1) In Pascal’s mugging, you ought not wager (that is, give the mugger your wallet). f78 Philosophia Christi (2) Pascal’s mugging is relevantly similar to Pascal’s Wager. (3) Thus, in Pascal’s Wager, you ought not wager (that is, believe in God).
WebPascal: 1 in a 1,000? Mugger: Great! OK, so give me your wallet, and tomorrow I give you 2,000 times the value of its contents. The expectation value is greatly to your advantage. … WebJan 2, 2024 · Pascal’s Mugger has never seemed to be anything else but “hey, here is an unintuitive result of correct decision theory” to me, and I believe the correct response would be to say “okay, interesting” and move on. Pascal's Mugging 1. Personal Blog. 5. New Comment. Submit.
In philosophy, Pascal's mugging is a thought-experiment demonstrating a problem in expected utility maximization. A rational agent should choose actions whose outcomes, when weighed by their probability, have higher utility. But some very unlikely outcomes may have very great utilities, and these … See more The term "Pascal's mugging" to refer to this problem was originally coined by Eliezer Yudkowsky in the Less Wrong forum. Philosopher Nick Bostrom later elaborated the thought experiment in the form of a fictional … See more • Decision theory • Expected utility • Scope neglect • St. Petersburg paradox See more Philosopher Nick Bostrom argues that Pascal's mugging, like Pascal's wager, suggests that giving a superintelligent artificial intelligence a flawed decision theory could be disastrous. Pascal's mugging may also be relevant when considering low … See more
WebHaving multiple products potentially down the pipeline is great, with SuSy, Candyshop, & OGSwap. I dunno, I really like the team. On principal though I would suggest using … educational fatheadsWebPascal's Mugging is an scenario where the theological considerations are replaced with a more mundane setting, where we are faced with a being who claims to have … educational fcu customer serviceWebJun 15, 2009 · Pascal: No way. Mugger: Ah, you don’t believe that I will be as good as my word? One can’t be too careful these days. … Tell you what: give me your wallet, and I … educational family moviesWebRT @RomanianLiberal: Dont tell these people about Pascal's Mugger, they are gonna go bankrupt . 10 Apr 2024 07:22:02 construction industry long service nswWebPascal: 1 in a 1,000? Mugger: Great! OK, so give me your wallet, and tomorrow I give you 2,000 times the value of its contents. The expectation value is greatly to your advantage. … construction industry lslWebDec 23, 2009 · Pascal’s Mugging is a general problem in decision theory: it exposes the paradoxical and apparently irrational consequences of a thorough-going probabilistic … construction industry net zeroWebApr 3, 2024 · Pascal’s Mu g ging is similar. Imagine that a mugger stops Pascal, and pulls him into a dark alleyway. The mugger, however, forgot to bring a weapon. The mugger, … educational family travel